FA Cup Final
Global 2-4
Dalian Pro vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dalian Pro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 0
SHA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TIT
2 - 0
DAL
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
DAL
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 2
DAL
31%
28%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
4 - 2
LIA
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
GUI
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 1
TIT
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 5
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +2 |