Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008 analysis

Dalbeattie Star Gretna 2008
17 ELO 15
8.2% Tilt 9.4%
15574º General ELO ranking 11963º
92º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
69.1%
Dalbeattie Star
16.6%
Draw
14.3%
Gretna 2008

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
Dalbeattie Star
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.3%
Win probability
Gretna 2008
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Dalbeattie Star
Their league position
Gretna 2008
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
16º
18º
19º
26
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dalbeattie Star
Gretna 2008
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dalbeattie Star
Gretna 2008
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dalbeattie Star
Dalbeattie Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
0 - 1
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
75%
16%
10%
17 30 13 0
03 Sep. 2022
DAL
Dalbeattie Star
0 - 6
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
13%
18%
70%
18 36 18 -1
30 Aug. 2022
BFC
Broomhill FC
3 - 1
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
76%
14%
10%
19 30 11 -1
27 Aug. 2022
CFC
Celtic II
5 - 0
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
87%
10%
3%
19 47 28 0
20 Aug. 2022
DAL
Dalbeattie Star
2 - 5
Rangers FC II
RFC
5%
12%
84%
19 52 33 0

Matches

Gretna 2008
Gretna 2008
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
GRE
Gretna 2008
3 - 1
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
31%
23%
46%
12 16 4 0
03 Sep. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
81%
13%
6%
12 33 21 0
31 Aug. 2022
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 2
Rangers FC II
RFC
4%
10%
86%
13 54 41 -1
27 Aug. 2022
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
4 - 1
Gretna 2008
GRE
85%
10%
5%
13 35 22 0
13 Aug. 2022
GRE
Gretna 2008
1 - 4
Celtic II
CFC
5%
13%
82%
14 48 34 -1
X