Dainava vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
8º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 0
DAI
67%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 0
FAS
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
DAI
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 0
KZA
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DAI
2 - 1
BAN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
HLI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
ZAL
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |