Dagdizel vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dagdizel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SKA
7 - 1
DAG
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
DAG
1 - 2
FCO
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
DAG
3 - 0
ELI
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
GAZ
1 - 1
DAG
60%
21%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
DAG
2 - 1
FKT
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 1
AST
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 3
CHE
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
SKA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
FCO
2 - 2
CHE
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 1
AVV
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |