Daganzo vs Alcobendas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daganzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COB
0 - 1
DAG
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DAG
2 - 2
RCA
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 2
DAG
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DAG
2 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 2
DAG
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
RCA
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
ALC
56%
23%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDS
41%
26%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
ALC
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 0
ADE
65%
21%
15%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |