Daejeon Korail vs Hwaseong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daejeon Korail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 1
ELA
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
DAE
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DAE
3 - 1
DCF
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 0
GAN
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
DAE
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 0
YES
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 1
GIM
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 0
DFC
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GYE
0 - 1
HWA
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
HWA
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |