Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
12º
10º
23
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 58 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
7% | 24% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 76% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
JEJ
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
POH
1 - 1
DCI
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
1 - 0
DAE
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 1
JEJ
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 1
DCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 3
GWA
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
GWA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
POH
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
GWA
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |