FA Cup Final
Global 4-4
Daegu FC vs Jeonnam Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daegu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ULS
2 - 0
DAE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DAE
0 - 2
JEO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CDR
0 - 1
DAE
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DAE
2 - 1
SUW
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SUW
1 - 2
DAE
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jeonnam Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CDR
0 - 1
DAE
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DCI
0 - 0
CDR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDR
2 - 3
ANG
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ULS
1 - 2
CDR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
CDR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |