Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Dacia Chişinău vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dacia Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 0
DAC
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DAC
0 - 1
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DAC
1 - 1
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 2
DAC
31%
30%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
DAC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 0
DAC
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FCK
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FCK
1 - 2
FKN
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KHA
0 - 3
FCK
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |