Dachau vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
8º
17º
14º
45
8º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dachau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KIR
2 - 2
DAC
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DAC
5 - 2
ERL
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 2
DAC
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DAC
0 - 1
TSA
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
186
2 - 1
DAC
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
FCG
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SON
0 - 1
FCP
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SON
0 - 1
HEI
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ISM
0 - 4
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SON
4 - 3
VRG
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |