DAC vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
5º
4º
41
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 45 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 31 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 29 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 27 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 27 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 22 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 21 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 18 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
0 - 0
TNV
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 3
DAC
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 3
DAC
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 3
DAC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
SBR
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZIL
2 - 1
KOM
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 5
ZIL
4%
10%
86%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 2
ZIL
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZIL
3 - 2
SKA
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SBR
0 - 5
ZIL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |