Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-3
Deportes Copiapó vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Copiapó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DCO
1 - 0
MAG
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUB
2 - 0
DCO
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
DCO
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DCO
0 - 0
CUR
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 1
DCO
49%
27%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
UCH
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
UNI
37%
26%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |