Cynthia vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 0
CYN
71%
16%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CYN
2 - 2
CSV
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
3 - 1
CYN
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CYN
2 - 2
MDC
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POL
2 - 1
CYN
34%
23%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 2
GEL
43%
28%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 1
NOC
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIC
3 - 4
GEL
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
CSV
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 1
GEL
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |