Cynthia vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
CYN
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
CYN
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
PIC
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 2
CYN
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 0
SSM
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 1
FBC
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 1
CSV
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
FBC
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |