Cynthia vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CYN
0 - 1
OLB
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 3
CYN
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 1
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIE
4 - 0
CYN
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CYN
2 - 0
TRA
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 2
RIE
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 2
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
4 - 0
GRO
14%
23%
63%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARZ
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |