Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
3 - 1
GOY
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
4 - 1
TRE
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
6 - 0
ABE
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
CWM
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
TRE
94%
4%
2%
|
22 | 69 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
PEN
22%
19%
59%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ERA
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +6 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
HAV
3%
8%
89%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | +1 |