Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
13º
8º
35
2º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 4
LID
32%
21%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
4 - 3
CAR
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 2
CWM
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 5
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 1
CWM
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
0 - 1
PON
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
PLL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LID
3 - 3
PON
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 3
LLA
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |