Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 2
CWM
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 5
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 1
CWM
39%
21%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
LLA
26%
20%
55%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
3 - 1
CWM
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 5
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
65%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 2
CAR
8%
13%
79%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |