Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
14%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
CWM
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 0
LID
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
6 - 2
CWM
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 2
CWM
30%
21%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
BDG
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |