Cwmbran Celtic vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 2
CWM
30%
21%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 1
AAF
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 3
CWM
59%
20%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 4
CAM
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
CWM
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
LLA
10%
16%
75%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
TAF
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |