Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
CWM
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 4
BRI
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
CWM
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CWM
3 - 1
LLA
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +5 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LID
6 - 0
ABE
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
14%
19%
68%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |