Cwmamman United vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
82.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmamman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CWU
4 - 0
DIN
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CWU
1 - 3
CWM
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GOY
1 - 0
CWU
57%
19%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
CWU
1 - 3
LLA
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CWU
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 3
ABE
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
ABE
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |