Curzon Ashton vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CUR
3 - 1
BOS
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CUR
2 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
CUR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 3
CUR
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
4 - 0
DAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COA
0 - 2
TAM
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 0
TAM
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
PET
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |