Curzon Ashton vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
CUR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
CUR
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CUR
4 - 1
YOR
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +4 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 3
CUR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 3
CUR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
TOW
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 0
DAR
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
TAM
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
TAM
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 2
AFC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |