Curzon Ashton vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 1
CUR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 1
LEA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BOS
4 - 1
CUR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CUR
3 - 1
UNM
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
CUR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |