Curzon Ashton vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 1
CUR
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 0
CUR
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CUR
2 - 1
BOS
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 4
CUR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 2
TOW
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
GAI
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
SPE
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NUN
3 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |