Curzon Ashton vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 0
UNM
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 1
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
CUR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CUR
3 - 1
WOR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 2
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
HED
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HED
1 - 2
STO
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HED
3 - 3
ALF
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 2
HED
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
STO
3 - 0
HED
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |