Curzon Ashton vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
CUR
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
OXF
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
CUR
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
3 - 0
NEE
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 0
HAL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
LEA
35%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 2
DAR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
KID
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
TOW
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |