Curzon Ashton vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
CUR
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
2 - 1
FAR
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 2
CUR
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 1
ALF
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 2
UNM
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 0
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
6 - 1
TAD
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 3
KID
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
FYL
1 - 0
DAR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
3 - 2
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |