Curzon Ashton vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 4
ASH
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
KID
1 - 1
CUR
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 0
CUR
50%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
CUR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BLY
3 - 2
CUR
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 4
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 4
BLY
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 2
DAR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOS
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |