Curzon Ashton vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CUR
0 - 3
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CUR
3 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COR
0 - 4
CUR
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CUR
0 - 0
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUR
4 - 1
LOW
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 3
CHO
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |