Curzon Ashton vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 1
GAT
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CUR
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 0
YOR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 1
FYL
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
CUR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
DAR
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 0
BOS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |