FA Cup 1/128
Global 0-0
Curzon Ashton vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
CUR
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 1
CUR
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 1
CUR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CUR
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POS
1 - 0
CAM
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WYC
2 - 3
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
IPS
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
SHW
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |