Curzon Ashton vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CUR
3 - 0
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CUR
4 - 0
ILK
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 0
CUR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 1
CUR
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BLY
2 - 1
CUR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
BUX
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 3
UNM
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 3
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 3
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |