Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
CUR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
CUR
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
CUR
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FYL
1 - 0
CUR
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
AFC
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 2
KIN
12%
18%
69%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
KET
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
GAT
3 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |