Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
KID
3 - 2
CUR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 2
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
CUR
0 - 0
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 3
CUR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CUR
3 - 2
FYL
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 1
STO
37%
26%
36%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GAI
0 - 2
ALF
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 0
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
WOR
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |