Curslack-Neuengamme vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
54
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EIM
7 - 1
CUR
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 0
CUR
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 0
BUC
61%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
CUR
51%
20%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
NIE
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 2
THA
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
4 - 1
WAN
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 3
WAN
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
1 - 1
VHG
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |