Curslack-Neuengamme vs Hamm United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
33
4º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 5
CUR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 4
VHG
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 2
HEB
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
HEB
4 - 2
CUR
43%
22%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 0
CUR
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamm United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
THA
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 5
HAM
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 4
SUD
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LOH
1 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
OSD
2 - 0
HAM
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |