Curslack-Neuengamme vs Hamm United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
33
4º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 5
CUR
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 4
VHG
41%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 2
HEB
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
HEB
4 - 2
CUR
43%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 0
CUR
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamm United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
THA
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 5
HAM
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 4
SUD
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LOH
1 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
OSD
2 - 0
HAM
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |