Curslack-Neuengamme vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
39
8º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
CUR
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
NIE
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
6 - 1
CUR
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
4 - 1
CUR
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
THA
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 2
BUC
71%
15%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
SUD
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RUG
4 - 1
BUC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
VHG
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |