Curicó Unido vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
15º
14º
34
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 2
DSC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
CUR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
USF
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
SAU
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
COL
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
COB
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
SAN
42%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |