Curicó Unido vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CUR
0 - 2
IQU
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
COQ
1 - 1
CUR
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CUR
0 - 1
COQ
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ULC
1 - 1
CUR
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ANT
0 - 3
CUR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 2
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
IQU
2 - 3
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DCO
4 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
COQ
3 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |