Curicó Unido vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CUR
1 - 0
IQU
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COQ
0 - 2
CUR
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CUR
4 - 2
DCO
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 1
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ANT
2 - 1
CUR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 4
ANT
40%
26%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DCO
3 - 4
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
COQ
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |