Copa Chile Last 16
Global 4-2
Curicó Unido vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
CUR
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
IQU
0 - 1
CUR
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
SWA
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUR
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CUR
0 - 1
UCH
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 3
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ANT
2 - 1
PAL
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUR
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |