Curicó Unido vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
15º
14º
36
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DLS
1 - 0
CUR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
CUR
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 0
CUR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 2
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 0
LIM
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 0
LIM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
DEP
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |