Curicó Unido vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
CUR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
DCO
1 - 2
CUR
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
CUR
7 - 0
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 3
CUR
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CON
4 - 0
NEM
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
NEM
0 - 6
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DCO
0 - 2
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |