Curaçao vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 1
SLV
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CUW
5 - 3
TTO
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 2
PAN
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MTQ
1 - 0
CUW
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 0
CUW
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 1
SLV
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SLV
0 - 0
MTQ
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MTQ
1 - 0
SLV
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 3
TTO
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GTM
2 - 0
SLV
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |