Curaçao vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 5
CUW
7%
13%
81%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CUW
10 - 0
GRD
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 0
BOL
10%
17%
74%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 1
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
CUW
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 0
ABW
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAF
0 - 3
GLP
6%
13%
81%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 1
DMA
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MTQ
2 - 0
GLP
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GLP
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |