Curaçao vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUF
4 - 1
CUW
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
CUB
9%
19%
72%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
TTO
7%
16%
78%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
CUW
81%
13%
5%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CUW
0 - 1
VCT
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
0 - 2
GUF
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
7 - 0
VGB
86%
11%
4%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ABW
1 - 0
TCA
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ABW
2 - 2
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CUW
2 - 0
ABW
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |