Curaçao vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
VCT
4 - 0
CUW
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CUW
1 - 2
GUY
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
5 - 1
CUW
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -3 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CUW
6 - 1
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
CUW
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
2 - 1
ABW
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ABW
2 - 2
DOM
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SUR
0 - 0
ABW
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |