Curaçao vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CUW
0 - 1
SUR
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
CUW
0 - 5
GUY
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
CUW
1 - 1
GRD
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
CUW
0 - 3
HTI
5%
15%
80%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ATG
1 - 1
CUW
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 0
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
ABW
0 - 3
ATG
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUR
8 - 1
ABW
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |